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Theories of change Many theories of change make sense at face value: they are internally consistent and seem convincing. Thus, when prioritizing between different theories of change and interventions that could receive support, we need to prioritize based on observable and comparable characteristics to identify high-impact strategies. That is why, apart from examining theories of change in detail on a mechanism level, we primarily rely on exploiting systematic features of the climate space and the interventions to make relative judgments in an uncertain world. In other words, we evaluate how different theories of change perform alongside the identified impact multipliers to give rise to expectations of particularly high impact. We currently have identified four theories of change that we expect to be particularly promising, as summarized in Table 1: